Minority Report

Gainesville, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cooke County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°1%
US model (GFS)76°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°50°0%
German model (ICON)76°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°48°0%
The average76°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°43°1%
US model (GFS)65°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°48°0%
German model (ICON)63°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°47°0%
The average64°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 43°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°43°76%
US model (GFS)62°42°45%
European model (ECMWF)60°45°95%
German model (ICON)58°40°85%
Canadian model (GEM)60°44°20%
The average60°43°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 43°   Rain 93%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°42°90%
US model (GFS)53°43°85%
European model (ECMWF)48°44°100%
German model (ICON)46°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)51°42°90%
The average50°43°93%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.