Minority Report

Galax, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Galax city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 35 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 28%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°10%
US model (GFS)54°37°37%
German model (ICON)54°41°45%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°21%
The average55°38°28%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°8%
US model (GFS)41°33°12%
German model (ICON)44°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°0%
The average43°33°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°28°7%
US model (GFS)38°30°14%
German model (ICON)39°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°31°0%
The average40°30°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°26°0%
US model (GFS)42°31°0%
German model (ICON)47°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°30°0%
The average45°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.