Minority Report

Galena, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Stone County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59° Low 35° Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	—	29°	0%
US model (GFS)	59°	35°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	58°	37°	0%
German model (ICON)	58°	33°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	59°	38°	0%
The average	59°	35°	0%

Friday, November 13

High 48° Low 29° Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	49°	25°	0%
US model (GFS)	46°	27°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	47°	33°	0%
German model (ICON)	49°	28°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	49°	30°	0%
The average	48°	29°	0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50° Low 27° Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	51°	31°	2%
US model (GFS)	51°	23°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	49°	30°	0%
German model (ICON)	51°	27°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	49°	26°	0%
The average	50°	27°	0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53° Low 34° Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	51°	32°	12%
US model (GFS)	55°	34°	13%
European model (ECMWF)	52°	34°	9%
German model (ICON)	56°	34°	17%
Canadian model (GEM)	50°	36°	23%
The average	53°	34°	15%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.