Minority Report

Galesburg, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Knox County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°1%
US model (GFS)44°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°6%
German model (ICON)46°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°14%
The average45°33°5%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°24°0%
US model (GFS)41°26°1%
European model (ECMWF)41°31°0%
German model (ICON)42°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°0%
The average41°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°26°0%
US model (GFS)45°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°23°0%
The average45°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)49°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°19°0%
The average48°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.