Minority Report

Gallup, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McKinley County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)62°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°30°0%
German model (ICON)62°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°23°0%
The average61°29°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 35°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 43%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°37°68%
US model (GFS)60°35°34%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°56%
German model (ICON)58°36°43%
Canadian model (GEM)61°29°14%
The average60°35°43%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 84%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 84%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°26°82%
US model (GFS)46°37°73%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°100%
German model (ICON)48°37°95%
Canadian model (GEM)44°29°72%
The average46°33°84%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°30°0%
German model (ICON)52°32°1%
Canadian model (GEM)48°20°0%
The average50°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.