Minority Report

Galveston, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Galveston County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 63°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—62°0%
US model (GFS)79°63°1%
European model (ECMWF)76°60°0%
German model (ICON)76°63°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°66°0%
The average76°63°0%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 60°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°61°0%
US model (GFS)73°59°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°58°0%
German model (ICON)72°60°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°64°0%
The average71°60°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 69°   Low 62°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°62°9%
US model (GFS)68°58°6%
European model (ECMWF)67°59°19%
German model (ICON)70°61°13%
Canadian model (GEM)71°68°0%
The average69°62°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 72°   Low 63°   Rain 80%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 80%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°60°74%
US model (GFS)72°68°67%
European model (ECMWF)70°61°92%
German model (ICON)73°66°83%
Canadian model (GEM)74°62°86%
The average72°63°80%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.