Minority Report

Garden City, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Finney County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)69°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°38°0%
German model (ICON)68°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°34°0%
The average67°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°34°4%
US model (GFS)56°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°31°0%
The average55°34°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 87%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°36°92%
US model (GFS)52°32°83%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°94%
German model (ICON)48°37°77%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°91%
The average48°36°87%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 38°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 76%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°34°23%
US model (GFS)43°41°83%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°99%
German model (ICON)43°40°78%
Canadian model (GEM)42°38°97%
The average44°38°76%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.