Minority Report

Garden City, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Glasscock County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)71°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°47°0%
German model (ICON)71°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°44°0%
The average71°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 47°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 7%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°51°27%
US model (GFS)69°44°3%
European model (ECMWF)69°48°0%
German model (ICON)69°48°3%
Canadian model (GEM)72°44°0%
The average70°47°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 65°   Low 52°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 72%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°53°53%
US model (GFS)62°49°64%
European model (ECMWF)67°52°98%
German model (ICON)65°53°81%
Canadian model (GEM)70°51°65%
The average65°52°72%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 46°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 20%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°45°2%
US model (GFS)69°50°23%
European model (ECMWF)63°47°45%
German model (ICON)66°47°18%
Canadian model (GEM)64°42°14%
The average65°46°20%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.