Minority Report

Gate City, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Scott County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 41°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 78 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 76%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°22%
US model (GFS)54°40°84%
German model (ICON)53°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°43°100%
The average53°41°76%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 51%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 51%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°55%
US model (GFS)44°37°33%
German model (ICON)45°37°58%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°57%
The average45°36°51%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 7%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°1%
US model (GFS)43°30°6%
German model (ICON)42°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)44°23°12%
The average44°29°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)47°28°0%
German model (ICON)50°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°21°0%
The average48°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.