Minority Report

Gatesville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gates County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 17 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°1%
US model (GFS)72°50°12%
European model (ECMWF)70°50°18%
German model (ICON)71°47°15%
Canadian model (GEM)72°47°5%
The average71°47°10%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 39°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°34°4%
US model (GFS)56°41°2%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°0%
German model (ICON)58°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)59°45°5%
The average58°39°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°0%
German model (ICON)53°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°36°0%
The average53°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°33°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°31°0%
The average56°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.