Geneseo, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Livingston County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 36° Rain 85%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 40% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 35° | 86% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 38° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 37° | 100% |
| The average | 45° | 36° | 85% |
High 38° Low 33° Rain 41%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 30° | 34% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 33° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 36° | 83% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 34° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 34° | 39% |
| The average | 38° | 33° | 41% |
High 40° Low 34° Rain 74%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 33° | 66% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 32° | 57% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 36° | 86% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 34° | 69% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 34° | 90% |
| The average | 40° | 34° | 74% |
High 41° Low 34° Rain 50%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 32° | 41% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 35° | 57% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 35° | 79% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 36° | 56% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 34° | 18% |
| The average | 41° | 34° | 50% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.