Minority Report

Geneva, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fillmore County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—24°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°26°0%
The average46°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°0%
US model (GFS)40°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)45°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°19°0%
The average43°25°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 28°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°7%
US model (GFS)46°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°0%
German model (ICON)48°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°21°3%
The average46°28°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 5%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°5%
US model (GFS)47°40°5%
European model (ECMWF)50°30°0%
German model (ICON)53°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)46°25°11%
The average49°32°5%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.