Minority Report

Georgetown, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clear Creek County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)58°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°25°0%
German model (ICON)57°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°0%
The average58°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 31°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°32°10%
US model (GFS)57°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°25°0%
German model (ICON)57°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°32°0%
The average57°31°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 30°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 67%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°65%
US model (GFS)46°30°77%
European model (ECMWF)44°26°39%
German model (ICON)47°32°73%
Canadian model (GEM)43°29°82%
The average45°30°67%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 15%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°26°2%
US model (GFS)48°28°24%
European model (ECMWF)48°27°2%
German model (ICON)50°32°20%
Canadian model (GEM)48°28°26%
The average48°28°15%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.