Minority Report

Georgetown, DE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sussex County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 48°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 84 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 44%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°13%
US model (GFS)69°49°22%
European model (ECMWF)67°51°94%
German model (ICON)66°49°80%
Canadian model (GEM)69°48°10%
The average68°48°44%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 37°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 35%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°33%
US model (GFS)49°38°12%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°43%
German model (ICON)50°37°55%
Canadian model (GEM)49°40°33%
The average50°37°35%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 20%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°33°1%
US model (GFS)47°36°7%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°25%
German model (ICON)48°34°40%
Canadian model (GEM)47°35°28%
The average48°35°20%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°32°0%
US model (GFS)50°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°39°2%
German model (ICON)51°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°38°0%
The average51°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.