Minority Report

Georgetown, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Scott County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 41°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 57%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°33%
US model (GFS)54°41°28%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°78%
German model (ICON)55°41°58%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°90%
The average55°41°57%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 62%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°47%
US model (GFS)44°32°38%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°92%
German model (ICON)46°35°70%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°62%
The average45°34°62%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°0%
German model (ICON)46°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°1%
The average46°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)49°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°2%
German model (ICON)52°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°21°0%
The average49°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.