Minority Report

Gettysburg, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Adams County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 43°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 67%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°32%
US model (GFS)57°42°42%
European model (ECMWF)62°45°98%
German model (ICON)60°45°65%
Canadian model (GEM)58°44°100%
The average59°43°67%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 57%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°41%
US model (GFS)42°34°21%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°88%
German model (ICON)45°36°70%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°67%
The average44°35°57%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 9%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°3%
US model (GFS)46°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°2%
German model (ICON)47°34°10%
Canadian model (GEM)47°36°29%
The average47°34°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°1%
US model (GFS)47°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°0%
German model (ICON)49°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°32°0%
The average49°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.