Minority Report

Gilmer, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Upshur County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°1%
US model (GFS)77°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°53°0%
German model (ICON)75°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°50°0%
The average76°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°41°1%
US model (GFS)64°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°0%
German model (ICON)63°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°47°0%
The average65°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°42°29%
US model (GFS)61°42°7%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°12%
German model (ICON)59°38°13%
Canadian model (GEM)61°45°0%
The average60°42°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 43°   Rain 86%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°41°83%
US model (GFS)51°45°76%
European model (ECMWF)51°44°95%
German model (ICON)50°43°89%
Canadian model (GEM)51°42°86%
The average51°43°86%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.