Minority Report

Gladwin, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gladwin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 92 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 70%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°8%
US model (GFS)44°35°55%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°98%
German model (ICON)44°35°100%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°88%
The average45°34°70%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°9%
US model (GFS)40°33°7%
European model (ECMWF)40°32°4%
German model (ICON)39°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°32°0%
The average40°31°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°8%
US model (GFS)43°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°0%
German model (ICON)45°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°30°0%
The average44°31°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°26°2%
US model (GFS)47°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)45°32°0%
German model (ICON)45°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°0%
The average45°31°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.