Minority Report

Glen Rose, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Somervell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)79°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°51°0%
German model (ICON)78°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°48°0%
The average78°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°45°0%
US model (GFS)71°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°51°0%
German model (ICON)68°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°48°0%
The average70°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 47°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 63%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°47°65%
US model (GFS)65°45°35%
European model (ECMWF)64°50°88%
German model (ICON)59°47°95%
Canadian model (GEM)68°47°32%
The average64°47°63%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 47°   Rain 90%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 90%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°44°88%
US model (GFS)58°48°77%
European model (ECMWF)57°48°98%
German model (ICON)50°46°95%
Canadian model (GEM)59°47°93%
The average56°47°90%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.