Minority Report

Glendive, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dawson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)55°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°35°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°0%
The average55°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°35°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°0%
The average54°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°33°0%
US model (GFS)59°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)60°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°35°0%
The average58°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°0%
US model (GFS)60°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°31°0%
The average57°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.