Minority Report

Glenville, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gilmer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 41°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°71%
US model (GFS)50°42°61%
European model (ECMWF)53°44°100%
German model (ICON)52°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)51°44°100%
The average52°41°86%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 74 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 66%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°22%
US model (GFS)45°33°52%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°96%
German model (ICON)46°36°68%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°90%
The average46°34°66%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°6%
US model (GFS)44°33°11%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°8%
German model (ICON)45°33°10%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°19%
The average45°32°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°3%
US model (GFS)46°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°4%
German model (ICON)48°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°32°10%
The average47°34°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.