Minority Report

Glenwood Springs, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Garfield County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)62°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°35°0%
German model (ICON)60°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°33°0%
The average60°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 35°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 6%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°35°30%
US model (GFS)61°40°1%
European model (ECMWF)60°39°0%
German model (ICON)59°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°32°0%
The average60°35°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 36°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 55%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°59%
US model (GFS)47°40°58%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°41%
German model (ICON)54°34°45%
Canadian model (GEM)46°34°71%
The average50°36°55%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 35°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°33°1%
US model (GFS)50°39°7%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°8%
German model (ICON)52°36°20%
Canadian model (GEM)51°34°15%
The average52°35°10%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.