Minority Report

Globe, AZ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gila County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 50°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—52°3%
US model (GFS)72°48°1%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°0%
German model (ICON)71°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°46°0%
The average71°50°1%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 50°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 63%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°50°55%
US model (GFS)70°50°39%
European model (ECMWF)66°50°80%
German model (ICON)66°53°68%
Canadian model (GEM)69°46°71%
The average68°50°63%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 47°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 72%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°45°55%
US model (GFS)58°48°51%
European model (ECMWF)59°47°80%
German model (ICON)59°49°84%
Canadian model (GEM)58°44°91%
The average58°47°72%

Sunday, November 15

High 62°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°47°0%
US model (GFS)62°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°40°0%
German model (ICON)63°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°41°0%
The average62°44°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.