Gloucester County, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gloucester County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 70° Low 48° Rain 16%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 16 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 42° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 71° | 50° | 14% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 69° | 50° | 19% |
| German model (ICON) | 69° | 51° | 25% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 71° | 49° | 11% |
| The average | 70° | 48° | 16% |
High 54° Low 39° Rain 4%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 35° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 38° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 42° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 39° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 40° | 6% |
| The average | 54° | 39° | 4% |
High 51° Low 34° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 34° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 34° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 34° | 6% |
| The average | 51° | 34° | 2% |
High 54° Low 36° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 39° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 37° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 36° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.