Minority Report

Golconda, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pope County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°1%
US model (GFS)57°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)59°40°55%
German model (ICON)58°37°8%
Canadian model (GEM)59°37°14%
The average58°37°16%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°4%
US model (GFS)44°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°0%
German model (ICON)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°33°0%
The average47°32°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)51°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°27°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)55°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)55°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°23°0%
The average54°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.