Minority Report

Golden, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)67°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°38°0%
German model (ICON)66°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°38°0%
The average66°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°39°1%
US model (GFS)66°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°35°0%
German model (ICON)61°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°35°0%
The average62°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 31%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°39°24%
US model (GFS)53°34°38%
European model (ECMWF)51°35°29%
German model (ICON)51°39°36%
Canadian model (GEM)47°35°29%
The average51°36°31%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°36°1%
US model (GFS)55°43°12%
European model (ECMWF)53°33°6%
German model (ICON)57°37°19%
Canadian model (GEM)52°35°23%
The average54°37°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.