Minority Report

Goldfield, NV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Esmeralda County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°1%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°38°0%
German model (ICON)59°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°30°0%
The average60°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 85 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 43%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°35°38%
US model (GFS)54°40°32%
European model (ECMWF)56°39°97%
German model (ICON)54°42°38%
Canadian model (GEM)52°34°12%
The average54°38°43%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 99 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 41%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°34°1%
US model (GFS)48°31°29%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°100%
German model (ICON)50°35°48%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°29%
The average49°32°41%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 35°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°35°9%
US model (GFS)49°40°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°0%
German model (ICON)52°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°1%
The average51°35°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.