Minority Report

Goldthwaite, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mills County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)71°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°51°0%
German model (ICON)73°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°45°0%
The average73°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°47°0%
US model (GFS)69°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°50°0%
German model (ICON)72°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°44°0%
The average71°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 49°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 63%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°49°73%
US model (GFS)63°45°45%
European model (ECMWF)63°49°74%
German model (ICON)56°50°78%
Canadian model (GEM)68°50°47%
The average62°49°63%

Sunday, November 15

High 61°   Low 47°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 82%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°44°81%
US model (GFS)67°49°60%
European model (ECMWF)59°47°87%
German model (ICON)58°47°88%
Canadian model (GEM)63°46°95%
The average61°47°82%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.