Minority Report

Gonzales, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gonzales County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)77°58°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°56°0%
German model (ICON)77°57°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°50°0%
The average77°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 77°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°51°0%
US model (GFS)75°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°53°0%
German model (ICON)78°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°44°0%
The average77°51°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 72°   Low 53°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 51%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°57°55%
US model (GFS)68°54°38%
European model (ECMWF)72°54°86%
German model (ICON)68°54°54%
Canadian model (GEM)80°48°20%
The average72°53°51%

Sunday, November 15

High 72°   Low 56°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 80%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°53°83%
US model (GFS)78°60°55%
European model (ECMWF)70°56°88%
German model (ICON)68°55°80%
Canadian model (GEM)74°57°92%
The average72°56°80%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.