Minority Report

Gooding, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gooding County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°1%
US model (GFS)66°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°47°0%
German model (ICON)64°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°41°0%
The average63°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 43°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 78%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°41°83%
US model (GFS)65°43°30%
European model (ECMWF)65°46°92%
German model (ICON)66°45°90%
Canadian model (GEM)61°41°95%
The average64°43°78%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 36°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 86 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 75%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°14%
US model (GFS)53°40°77%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°100%
German model (ICON)54°38°85%
Canadian model (GEM)51°32°99%
The average53°36°75%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°35°10%
US model (GFS)55°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°0%
German model (ICON)57°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average55°36°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.