Minority Report

Goodland, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sherman County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)63°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°40°0%
German model (ICON)64°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°37°0%
The average63°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°1%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°34°0%
The average55°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 54%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°48%
US model (GFS)48°31°48%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°71%
German model (ICON)49°35°38%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°63%
The average47°34°54%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 42%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°10%
US model (GFS)42°40°29%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°65%
German model (ICON)43°38°38%
Canadian model (GEM)46°34°67%
The average45°36°42%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.