Goshen, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Elkhart County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 48° Low 38° Rain 62%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 47 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 43% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 40° | 47% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 40° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 39° | 66% |
| The average | 48° | 38° | 62% |
High 42° Low 30° Rain 28%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 27° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 31° | 15% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 32° | 47% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 31° | 35% |
| The average | 42° | 30° | 28% |
High 44° Low 30° Rain 17%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 34° | 25% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 31° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 28° | 1% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 27° | 24% |
| The average | 44° | 30° | 17% |
High 46° Low 34° Rain 19%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 30° | 25% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 36° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 40° | 2% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 29° | 29% |
| The average | 46° | 34° | 19% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.