Goshen, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Orange County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 48° Low 40° Rain 98%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 91% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 40° | 99% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 42° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 41° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 43° | 100% |
| The average | 48° | 40° | 98% |
High 42° Low 32° Rain 97%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 26° | 95% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 35° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 33° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 35° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 33° | 100% |
| The average | 42° | 32° | 97% |
High 44° Low 30° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 32° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 29° | 5% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 32° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 28° | 12% |
| The average | 44° | 30° | 8% |
High 46° Low 34° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 35° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 34° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.