Minority Report

Grafton, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Walsh County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 35° Low 22° Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	—	15°	0%
US model (GFS)	35°	24°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	35°	24°	0%
German model (ICON)	36°	26°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	34°	22°	0%
The average	35°	22°	0%

Friday, November 13

High 35° Low 20° Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	36°	16°	0%
US model (GFS)	32°	21°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	37°	23°	0%
German model (ICON)	36°	22°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	35°	16°	0%
The average	35°	20°	0%

Saturday, November 14

High 41° Low 23° Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	39°	22°	0%
US model (GFS)	44°	27°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	41°	26°	0%
German model (ICON)	41°	23°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	38°	17°	0%
The average	41°	23°	0%

Sunday, November 15

High 48° Low 31° Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	45°	32°	0%
US model (GFS)	52°	34°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	48°	31°	0%
German model (ICON)	51°	33°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	46°	26°	0%
The average	48°	31°	0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.