Minority Report

Grand Haven, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ottawa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 48 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 52%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°33%
US model (GFS)45°36°33%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°59%
German model (ICON)47°37°55%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°81%
The average46°36°52%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°33°22%
US model (GFS)42°31°10%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°12%
German model (ICON)43°33°30%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°26%
The average42°32°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°33%
US model (GFS)45°31°19%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°0%
German model (ICON)48°37°8%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°5%
The average46°34°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 38°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 6%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°35°8%
US model (GFS)48°38°19%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
German model (ICON)47°42°5%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°0%
The average47°38°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.