Minority Report

Grand Junction, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mesa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)62°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°38°0%
German model (ICON)61°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°28°0%
The average61°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 36°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 86 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 24%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°41°90%
US model (GFS)67°35°4%
European model (ECMWF)64°37°8%
German model (ICON)63°38°8%
Canadian model (GEM)59°28°10%
The average63°36°24%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°38°90%
US model (GFS)50°42°55%
European model (ECMWF)51°40°88%
German model (ICON)54°44°50%
Canadian model (GEM)51°32°81%
The average52°39°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°36°0%
US model (GFS)55°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°2%
German model (ICON)56°41°7%
Canadian model (GEM)54°30°0%
The average54°38°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.