Minority Report

Grand Marais, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cook County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 37°   Low 28°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°8%
US model (GFS)37°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)37°32°0%
German model (ICON)34°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°25°0%
The average37°28°2%

Friday, November 13

High 36°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°28°3%
US model (GFS)36°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)38°30°0%
German model (ICON)35°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)34°23°0%
The average36°27°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°30°0%
US model (GFS)41°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°30°0%
German model (ICON)42°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average41°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°34°0%
US model (GFS)42°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°0%
German model (ICON)45°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average43°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.