Minority Report

Grand Rapids, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kent County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 82 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 75%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°15%
US model (GFS)45°36°87%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°96%
German model (ICON)46°36°78%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°97%
The average45°35°75%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 27%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°9%
US model (GFS)40°32°9%
European model (ECMWF)42°30°50%
German model (ICON)41°31°43%
Canadian model (GEM)41°30°24%
The average41°30°27%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°3%
US model (GFS)44°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
German model (ICON)47°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°30°0%
The average45°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°0%
US model (GFS)46°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°0%
German model (ICON)46°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°0%
The average46°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.