Minority Report

Grand Rapids, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Itasca County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 34° Low 25° Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	—	18°	1%
US model (GFS)	35°	30°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	36°	29°	7%
German model (ICON)	33°	27°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	34°	19°	0%
The average	34°	25°	2%

Friday, November 13

High 34° Low 22° Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	36°	18°	1%
US model (GFS)	31°	28°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	34°	27°	0%
German model (ICON)	33°	24°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	33°	14°	0%
The average	34°	22°	0%

Saturday, November 14

High 40° Low 23° Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	39°	21°	0%
US model (GFS)	41°	28°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	40°	27°	0%
German model (ICON)	40°	24°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	38°	13°	0%
The average	40°	23°	0%

Sunday, November 15

High 44° Low 25° Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	43°	27°	0%
US model (GFS)	44°	27°	1%
European model (ECMWF)	44°	29°	0%
German model (ICON)	46°	28°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	43°	14°	0%
The average	44°	25°	0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.