Minority Report

Grangeville, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Idaho County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)58°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°30°0%
German model (ICON)63°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°48°0%
The average60°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 42°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 31%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°41°67%
US model (GFS)64°47°15%
European model (ECMWF)56°33°17%
German model (ICON)63°42°20%
Canadian model (GEM)56°46°35%
The average59°42°31%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 36°   Rain 78%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 78%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°67%
US model (GFS)49°37°68%
European model (ECMWF)51°33°92%
German model (ICON)51°39°95%
Canadian model (GEM)50°39°67%
The average50°36°78%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 41%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°37°76%
US model (GFS)51°36°43%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°35%
German model (ICON)53°39°18%
Canadian model (GEM)53°39°33%
The average51°36°41%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.