Minority Report

Grants, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cibola County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)59°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°41°0%
German model (ICON)61°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°26°0%
The average60°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 33°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 57%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°54%
US model (GFS)60°35°52%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°80%
German model (ICON)58°33°30%
Canadian model (GEM)58°25°71%
The average58°33°57%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 33°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°72%
US model (GFS)48°36°39%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°100%
German model (ICON)50°37°86%
Canadian model (GEM)48°30°66%
The average49°33°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)51°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°24°0%
The average52°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.