Minority Report

Grants Pass, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Josephine County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 44°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 77 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 17%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°77%
US model (GFS)67°44°3%
European model (ECMWF)68°43°0%
German model (ICON)65°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°48°5%
The average67°44°17%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 45°   Rain 100%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°39°100%
US model (GFS)58°45°98%
European model (ECMWF)54°45°100%
German model (ICON)57°48°100%
Canadian model (GEM)57°47°100%
The average56°45°100%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 45°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 80%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°40°100%
US model (GFS)52°45°79%
European model (ECMWF)61°44°80%
German model (ICON)60°48°40%
Canadian model (GEM)58°46°100%
The average58°45°80%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 100%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°35°100%
US model (GFS)49°40°98%
European model (ECMWF)53°41°100%
German model (ICON)54°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°38°100%
The average52°39°100%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.