Grayling, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crawford County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 41° Low 32° Rain 76%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 82 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 32° | 76% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 31° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 31° | 95% |
| The average | 41° | 32° | 76% |
High 37° Low 30° Rain 14%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 29° | 36% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 31° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 31° | 25% |
| The average | 37° | 30° | 14% |
High 41° Low 31° Rain 3%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 29° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 33° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 41° | 31° | 3% |
High 43° Low 30° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 26° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 43° | 30° | 2% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.