Minority Report

Great Bend, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Barton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°1%
US model (GFS)59°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°36°0%
The average58°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°1%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°0%
German model (ICON)52°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°0%
The average51°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 37%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 37%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°35°42%
US model (GFS)48°30°20%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°50%
German model (ICON)52°31°25%
Canadian model (GEM)47°31°48%
The average48°32°37%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 38°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 63%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°43%
US model (GFS)43°40°56%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°76%
German model (ICON)45°40°55%
Canadian model (GEM)41°37°86%
The average45°38°63%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.