Minority Report

Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greater Bridgeport Planning Region.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 44°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°99%
US model (GFS)58°46°88%
European model (ECMWF)56°46°100%
German model (ICON)53°46°93%
Canadian model (GEM)58°44°100%
The average56°44°96%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 89%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 89%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°95%
US model (GFS)46°37°59%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°98%
German model (ICON)46°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°95%
The average46°36°89%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°0%
US model (GFS)45°34°9%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°6%
German model (ICON)46°35°20%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°21%
The average46°34°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°0%
US model (GFS)48°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°2%
German model (ICON)48°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°35°0%
The average48°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.