Minority Report

Greeley, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Weld County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)68°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°35°0%
German model (ICON)69°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°26°0%
The average68°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°35°0%
US model (GFS)63°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°36°0%
German model (ICON)62°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°22°0%
The average61°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 22%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°36°25%
US model (GFS)55°35°14%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°24%
German model (ICON)50°37°30%
Canadian model (GEM)51°23°19%
The average52°34°22%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 11%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°32°0%
US model (GFS)59°38°14%
European model (ECMWF)56°39°5%
German model (ICON)58°36°22%
Canadian model (GEM)55°28°15%
The average56°35°11%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.