Minority Report

Green Bay, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Brown County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 34°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 21 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°16%
US model (GFS)40°33°6%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°2%
German model (ICON)42°36°23%
Canadian model (GEM)41°36°10%
The average41°34°11%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 8%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°31°7%
US model (GFS)40°32°5%
European model (ECMWF)40°33°25%
German model (ICON)41°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)41°31°0%
The average41°32°8%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°0%
US model (GFS)43°34°3%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°0%
German model (ICON)45°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°30°0%
The average44°32°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°0%
US model (GFS)44°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°0%
German model (ICON)46°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°26°0%
The average45°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.