Minority Report

Green Cove Springs, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 59°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—56°3%
US model (GFS)78°59°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°59°4%
German model (ICON)76°62°3%
Canadian model (GEM)75°60°2%
The average76°59°2%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 51°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°47°0%
US model (GFS)68°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°53°1%
German model (ICON)69°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°53°5%
The average68°51°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°49°0%
US model (GFS)63°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°44°0%
German model (ICON)61°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°46°0%
The average61°45°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 66°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°56°0%
US model (GFS)66°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°0%
German model (ICON)66°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°45°0%
The average66°50°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.