Minority Report

Greencastle, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Putnam County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 37°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 52 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 44%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°19%
US model (GFS)47°36°25%
European model (ECMWF)51°39°61%
Canadian model (GEM)48°37°71%
The average49°37°44%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°22%
US model (GFS)42°34°12%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°24%
Canadian model (GEM)40°32°24%
The average42°33°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°26°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°26°0%
The average47°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°21°0%
The average48°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.