Minority Report

Greeneville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greene County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 41°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 81%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°38%
US model (GFS)56°42°69%
European model (ECMWF)56°44°100%
German model (ICON)54°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)57°44°100%
The average56°41°81%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 36°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 74%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°63%
US model (GFS)42°37°32%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°95%
German model (ICON)44°37°90%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°90%
The average43°36°74%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 29°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 39%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°28°10%
US model (GFS)43°30°10%
European model (ECMWF)43°30°29%
German model (ICON)42°33°60%
Canadian model (GEM)40°23°86%
The average42°29°39%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)47°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)48°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°18°0%
The average48°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.